Sunday, August 19, 2012

Don't beat yourself up for being an almost lottery winner. There's no such thing.


I was reading through an article with recommendations on how office lottery pools can fairly play the lottery as a group.  There were some good points, but two in particular that got me thinking.  This led me to conclude that two of the points taken together are fallacious.  In a nutshell, one says "let the computer pick the numbers" and the other says "play every week so you don't miss the week that hits".  However, the truth is, if the computer picks the numbers on a week you didn't play, it would not have picked those same numbers if you had played.

Quick Pick lottery numbers (I use the Powerball term to cover all computer generated tickets) are generated at each terminal by a random number algorithm probably seeded by something unpredictable like atmospheric or electrical noise.  Many people have the misconception that if a lottery winner comes from a store in their neighborhood, they were much closer to winning than someone on the other side of the country because if they had been next in line instead of THAT person, they would have won.  Not true.  If we assume that your being there has no impact on the seeding mechanism of Quick Pick, the time factor alone is mind numbing.  There are limitless ways to interact with the checkout clerk to ask for a lottery ticket and if the button that generates that ticket were not pressed at the exact millisecond as before, you may as well have been a million miles away from that store.  Maybe the clerk pauses because you remind him/her of someone, or maybe you preface your request with "Um", or maybe the other winner had asked for tickets three times to be understood because of their accent.  Regardless, different numbers will be generated.

So let's assume that your lucky office pool buys some tickets and wins without your participation.  If you called in sick that day, your team merely thinking about your absence changed their behavior enough to generate the winning circumstances.  Said another way, if someone wins from playing Quick Pick, it's because everyone and everything behaved exactly as it did and the game was played at that exact location at that exact second.  This sounds like science fiction, but it is not.  This indeterminate randomness is absolutely necessary; otherwise, someone would have cracked the lottery by now.

This knowledge may not allay the jealousy you feel from seeing your coworker's new found wealth, but it can at least spare you the misery of continuously reliving the "what if" scenarios in your head.  About the only thing you can say with near certainty in this case is "Damn!  If only I had played the lottery with my team that day!  Then they would not have won and I would not have the misery of closely knowing the jackpot winners and seeing firsthand how much fun they get to have!"

sources:  http://www.molottery.com/powerball/understanding_chances.jsp
              http://www.ehow.com/how_2073998_enter-lottery-coworkers.html

Saturday, July 28, 2012

How Apple is Better even When it's Worse


The latest U.S. Cellular commercials are trying hard to obfuscate their lack of an Apple offering by highlighting their Android lines and by poking fun at the Apple faithful as lemmings running off a cliff.  I shake by head when I hear this because people still don't understand why Apple commands this kind of loyalty.  So let me state the obvious.  It's not the specs.  To borrow from James Carville, "It's the usability, stupid!"

There are many smart phones with better cameras, faster processors and ultra fast 4G networks rocketing them ahead in the specs department.  However, in the interest of usability, Apple does the following things:
  1. Control the hardware.  Apple's software is stable because it's designed to run on a limited line of devices, whereas Google and Microsoft license their software to just about anyone.  If you can't guarantee the hardware, you can't guarantee the software.

  2. Control the user experience.  Apple will not allow network providers to dictate device features or create "exclusive" phones for their service.  True, Apple and AT&T did originally have an exclusivity agreement, but it was truly exclusive so the user experience never suffered. Samsung learned this the hard way and is now pulling in the reigns on Verizon, AT&T and Sprint.  Network providers may retaliate by lowering smart phones subsidies, but at least we'll get a common experience out of it.

  3. Offer easy OS upgrades for free and not too frequently.  This will ensure a quick adoption rate. 
    •  I can't speak for Google, but Microsoft got it all wrong and is now taking a page from Apple's playbook.  It took Microsoft over 10 years to get 51% of their users off of Windows XP because they were charging hundreds for features that made us yawn.  Windows 8 pricing?  $40.  
    • Apple offers updates every one to two years.  Every time I turn on my Xbox 360 or reboot my Win7 machine, I'm getting forced updates with no idea what benefit I'm getting.
    • Windows 8 distribution is now more like the iTunes Store.  Nix the DVD, and offer downloads

  4. Design is dictated by usability and vice versa.  Engineers are critical for some things, but leave them out of the design discussions unless you want key features hidden 8 menu layers deep.

  5. Apple only introduces features that are mature and stable.  A fast network and 200 megapixel camera are useless if your apps and OS crash. Apple also control's apps through a tight QA process. 

  6. Don't compete on price.  It cheapens your image and invites the crowds that want to jailbreak your product to death.  These folks then kick and scream to their friends about how it doesn't work.

  7. Protect your intellectual property.  Everyone takes the pinch zoom for granted and many claim it should be not be patentable because it's "intuitive", but that's exactly why it deserves a patent!  Someone came up with that idea and they deserve to be paid.  Apple also goes aggressively after unlicensed third party accessory makers.  This may increase the price, but it ensures that these things have some quality standards.

  8. Eliminate competition at the point of sale.  Apple's own stores sell only Apple products.  Now they control the manner in which the products are displayed and have expert help who are qualified to answer questions.  Despite a lack of choice for consumers, the stores and the gadgets are exciting enough to draw people in.

Sunday, July 15, 2012

How to Deliver Training


Technical knowledge and training are two separate skills.  Case in point, last week I had training on SQL Server Reporting Services (SSRS).  There were two presenters and both were very technically knowledgeable, but their training abilities left something to be desired.  If you are a company putting on training or you are a trainer yourself, take heed to these pointers:

  • Know your audience. The training isn't about you - it's about them.  Is your audience developers, project managers, architects, engineers, operational support, business lines or executives?
  • Have an agenda.  Do not wing it!  Include subject matter and breaks.  One tried and true formula is intro, body, and conclusion, also known as tell them what you're going to tell them, tell them and then tell them what you told them.
  • Always tag team.  
    • One person can train while the other controls the slide deck and adjusts lighting and sound. 
    • This is the best way to keep your audience engaged.  It is harder for people to zone out if there are alternating voices, personalities and bodies.
    • Instructors should be apart from or roam within the audience.  This ensures that  they can receive nonverbal cues from the audience.
    • If you are the only one training, move around a lot, animate your vocal patterns and involve the audience as much as possible.
  • Make sure you can be heard.  Get a microphone if you're in a room with a capacity over 10.
  • Announce how questions will be handled.  
    • Roaming instructor
    • Ask in real time
    • Q&A section
  • Powerpoint is optional.  A few large visual aids printed at Kinko's can be just as effective.  If you do use Powerpoint, use it for high level points.  It's your job to fill in the details.  No more than 50 words on a slide.
  • Have a common theme. Use similar color patterns, branding and terms for that extra polish.
  • Check out the venue in advance.  Get a sense of the room's size, amenities and potential obstacles.  This will give you a sense of comfort with your environment and prevent you from not being able to find your place on game day.
  • Know your configurations.  Sometimes the room is fixed (stadium seating) but many times it can set up to need.  Lectures are great for disseminating expert knowledge or policy decisions, horseshoes work for team meetings, analytics, and video conferencing and roundtables work for collaboration and negotiating. New virtual classroom software is also quite sophisticated and commonly used.
  • Make sure you have what you need.  Will training PCs be locked?  Will you need Internet access?  Test setting up the technology and doing a dry run.  Have the contact info for the AV and Service Management teams.
  • Get personal.  Make your contact information available.  Have your audience wear name tags or use tent placards and then call people by their names. 
  • Break.  At least 10 minutes every 90 minutes of training and one hour long break if over 6 hours.  Provide drinks and snacks if over four hours.
  • Dress for success.  Grooming and hygiene should also go without saying.
  • Be flexible.  No matter how much you prep, something will go wrong.  Diffuse it with humor and move on to Plan B until the issues can be resolved.
  • Ask for feedback.  Get some data of your own to analyze and improve your training skills!

Monday, June 18, 2012

My Journey BegIns

After two years of studying, networking, and interviewing on the subjects of Enterprise Resource Planning, Customer Relationship Management, and Business Intelligence, I have accepted a position with my current employer supporting BI tools.  I am very exciting and I can't wait to help mature this very important field: a field that is new and interesting but one that will also bring real results to the business.  There is no better way to get hands on experience than to support Production systems and I look forward to working with the engineering and consulting folks of BI as well.

Sunday, January 29, 2012

He's not Immortal. He just Designs Universes.

I recently interviewed Business Objects universe designer and reporting expert David Hansen. Here's what he had to say:

Which school did you get your degree from and what did you major in?

I attended Carroll University from 2005 to 2009 and graduated with a bachelor’s degree in software engineering and a bachelor’s degree in mathematics. During my time at Carroll I played on the D3 soccer team there. My senior year we made it to the second round of the NCAA D3 soccer championship. For me, college was a great experience because I was able to experience both the academic and athletic sides of college life.


What area of Business Intelligence do you consider yourself a subject matter expert in?


When it comes to Business Objects, I’ve got a lot of experience in just about everything. Business Objects requires a universe to be built before you can build any reports. This universe is built “on” a database, so you have to know your database before building the universe. The universe follows the same rules as a database does, so you’ll need some experience in setting up a database with relationships and foreign keys before building a universe. Once the universe is built, you can use the Business Objects report designer tool to start crafting some reports. What is nice about the report designer tool is that you can override the sql query the report automatically creates to write your own, more complex query if you are good with sql.


Do you enjoy what you do and why do you feel it is important?


I love what I do, and I’m so lucky to have found such a fun, interesting career path. Creating reports and dashboards using queries and code is right up my alley. With degrees in mathematics and software engineering, I’m able to accomplish both things I love on a daily basis. And it isn’t worthless, either. For instance, the movie Moneyball recently came out, and that movie was about metrics in baseball. Using mathematics and numbers to determine strengths and weaknesses in players and build a strong team is close to what I do. Instead of making business decisions on gut feelings, I try to build reports for executives so they can make decisions based on numbers and facts. I’m helping them run their business as efficient as possible. If I can help people understand what is really going on with their area using reports and dashboards, the company can work more efficiently.


I’m hearing a lot about dashboards and dashboarding. What is this?


A dashboard is a user interface that is designed to give a quick, but deep, overview of what is going on within a certain area of business. A dashboard should be easy to read and understand, and it should be able to be able to convey all relevant information within the first two minutes of seeing it. This is different than a scorecard or report. A scorecard lists a bunch of numerical values for different metrics in a business area, and a report lists all the information a business area might have. A dashboard differs from these because it creates charts and visuals in such a way that it can tell you how your business area is doing without jumping into all the numbers of a scorecard and a report.


What challenges do you face when trying to procure data for analysis? How do you overcome this?


One of the biggest challenges when it comes to producing data is making sure that the data is accurate. In a perfect world, any data collected is relevant and carries the same weight as everything else. Unfortunately, you run into situations where business areas try to “cheat the system” to improve their numbers without improving their quality of support. To get around this, you can try to write rules to get rid of outliers and data points that will have an adverse affect your reports and dashboards.


If you do development work which language/environment do you prefer to develop in and why?


During school, I got to taste a number of different languages: Visual Basic, C++, C#, Java. However, I think the most important language in my work every day is VBA (Visual Basic for Applications). VBA is pretty much a watered down version of Visual Basic. However, it is still powerful and dynamic enough to do some great things. What makes VBA so influential is that it lies behind all the Microsoft products (press Alt + F11 to open it). Using VBA, you can do a wide array of things right from Excel, like pulling data from a database and producing a dashboard, or simply copying and saving files from one folder to another. One of the things that makes my job so much fun is a lot of people hack and slash a report together in Excel, and it takes them hours upon hours to create. But then I come in, write some VBA code behind their report, and allow them to click a button that creates their report in seconds. The look of astonishment on their face is awesome.


Do you feel Business Intelligence Analysts will become increasingly necessary in the years to come or that BI will become more of a commodity as DBMS, ETL and reporting tools mature?


The one thing that Business Objects has going for it is that you can create ad-hoc reports with ease. Obviously you’ll need a knowledgeable person to set up the Business Objects universe. However, once that is done, the learning curve to building reports isn’t that steep. That’s where I think Business Objects shines; you don’t need an expert in report building to create a report for you. Now, there are more complex reports that require a little more knowledge than your average bear. Yet, most of the simple, ad-hoc reporting can be completed by the end user, which frees up the time of the data experts and allows them to focus their time on higher level reporting. The end user is able to gather his or her data whenever he or she wants easily and effortlessly, and that is important for a tool.


For businesses that don’t have a business intelligence strategy, where do you think they should start?


The starting point is building a well designed database and gathering data. Bring someone in who knows a lot about data integrity and database design. Once the database is running, start collecting data! Once you have your preliminary data, you can start to evolve your thinking about a company. Maybe at first you just want to see call times for your support staff. After collecting data for a couple months, maybe you want to see what types of calls have which call lengths. Then, maybe you want to see what time the calls are mostly coming in so you can determine what staffing you need. Once you have a starting point, you can start to grow and learn more about your company and how business actually works!


What hobbies do you have?


I’ve got a ton of hobbies and am a very active person. I do soccer, curling, tennis, golf, bowling, chess, video games, fishing, hiking, traveling, board games, card games… I’m a competitive person who enjoys any type of game, so I do just about anything! Except basketball. I’m terrible at basketball.

Curling is quite a different hobby. Do you need special shoes for this sport?

I love curling. It’s addicting and fun. Some people describe it as chess on ice. And it’s a drinking sport. Who doesn’t love drinking some beer while throwing rocks down a sheet of ice? And actually, you don’t need special shoes for curling. When you shoot a stone, you need the least amount of friction as possible. Ergo, when you shoot, you put a special sole over your tennis shoe that creates a lot less friction. After you shoot, you take it off so you can re-gain most of the stability on the ice. I highly suggest that a person try curling, and you can always look online for more information regarding the sport!